Monday, September 5, 2011

Former All-Stars

I was intrigued when I discovered that this year's Boston Red Sox have 17 different former or current all-stars playing for them, the most of any team in baseball. This seemed like a high percentage of the team to me, so I started looking back at previous seasons totals. This got me wondering if the number of all-stars that are on any individual team has any correlation with that team's performance in a given season. To do this, I decided to go back to 2006 and find every team that had 15 or more current or former all-stars on it, and look at their season performance, and specifically whether or not they made they playoffs.  There were 28 such teams, for an average of 4.7 teams/season.


Year Tm  All-Stars Wins Losses Playoffs
2011 BOS  17 84 55 yes*
2011 NYY  16 85 53 yes*
2011 ATL  15 82 57 yes*
2010 BOS  18 89 73
2010 LAD  17 80 82
2010 NYY  17 95 67 yes
2010 ATL  16 91 71 yes
2010 PHI  15 97 65 yes
2009 BOS  21 95 67 yes
2009 LAD  19 95 67 yes
2009 CHW  15 79 83
2009 TEX  15 87 75
2008 BOS  18 95 67 yes
2008 LAD  18 84 78 yes
2008 NYY  17 89 73
2008 CHW  15 89 74 yes
2008 DET  15 74 88
2007 LAD  20 82 80
2007 BOS  18 96 66 yes
2007 NYM  17 88 74
2007 NYY  15 84 68 yes
2006 LAD  23 89 73 yes
2006 BOS  18 86 76
2006 PHI  17 85 77
2006 CHW  16 90 72
2006 NYM  15 97 65 yes
2006 NYY  15 97 65 yes
2006 SEA  15 78 84

Now obviously there are a lot of repeat teams in this list, as teams that don't have a lot of turnover are going to have largely the same number of all-stars in a string of consecutive years. The most prevalent team on the list is the Red Sox, who have at least 15 all-stars in all 6 seasons that I looked at. This is followed by both the Yankees and the Dodgers, who both have at least 15 in 5 of the 6 seasons.

The average win total for these teams (not including the 2011 teams) is 88.2 wins, well above league average, and within a few of a usual playoff spot. Of these 28 teams, 16 made the playoffs (I'm including the 2011 Red Sox, Yankees, and Braves as playoff teams) a 57% success rate. A pretty good result in a sport where only 26.7% of the teams make the playoffs in every season. This result shows that there is in fact a likely correlation between having a lot of all-stars on your team and making the playoffs. Most of the teams on this list are also teams with large payrolls, which allows them to stock up on veteran players, who have been around a few years and have a better chance to become an all-star than a rookie.

The three teams with the highest number of all-stars in a season are the 2007 Dodgers with 20, the 2009 Red Sox with 21, and the 2006 Dodgers with 23. The 2007 Dodgers went 82-80 and missed the playoffs, but both the 09 Red Sox and 06 Dodgers did make the playoffs, but failed to advance to the World Series.

Although a high percentage of these teams did make the playoffs, it should be noted that only one, the 2007 Red Sox with 18 all-stars, actually ended up winning the World Series.

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